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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Machida Zelvia v Grulla Morioka: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Machida GION Stadium

Machida Zelvia

WWWWD
3–0
FT

Grulla Morioka

W
Machida Zelvia 72%Draw 17%Grulla Morioka 10% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.47
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓72% · @1.11
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓90% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10% · fair 9.74

Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grulla Morioka travel to face Machida Zelvia on Wednesday 26 August in the Emperor Cup, with Machida GION Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.

Current form

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Urawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 1.8 xG, Grulla Morioka 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 72%, draw 17%, Grulla Morioka 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 1–0 Grulla Morioka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia72%fair 1.38 · @1.11
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @7.40
Grulla Morioka10%fair 9.54 · @18.50
2.31Expected goals
1.84Machida Zelvia xG
0.47Grulla Morioka xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–017%
3–010%
0–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.8 – 0.5 Grulla Morioka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✓72%1.381.11
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓90%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.62
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.36 ▲
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultMachida Zelvia ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10%9.74–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WWWWDW
23 Augvs Urawa3–1W
15 Aug@ JEF United Chiba4–0W
8 Aug@ FC Tokyo5–1W
18 Julvs Fujieda MYFC2–1W
6 Junvs Nagoya Grampus0–0D
22 Mayvs Urawa1–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Grulla Morioka – last 1

W
19 Augvs Sapporo University1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Grulla Morioka.

Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

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FT Consadole Sapporo1 Ventforet Kofu3 143%1.98X23%3.20234%3.65 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Imabari4 Blaublitz Akita1 138%2.74X23%3.10239%2.48 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Iwaki0 Oita Trinita0 AET 2–0 156%1.94X24%3.30220%3.65 1.7–0.9xG 1XIwaki or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Jubilo Iwata0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki0 AET 0–1 138%2.18X23%3.20239%3.15 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Fujieda MYFC3 AET 3–5 144%2.24X23%3.20233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Omiya Ardija2 Vanraure Hachinohe0 160%1.75X23%3.50216%4.33 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Sagan Tosu4 Kataller Toyama0 138%2.52X24%3.00238%2.80 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Vegalta Sendai1 Tochigi City2 155%1.94X24%3.30221%3.70 1.6–0.9xG 1XVegalta Sendai or draw 79%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Grulla Morioka 10%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–0 Grulla Morioka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?

Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.