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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

LDWWL
4–0
FT

Kataller Toyama

WWLWL
Sagan Tosu 38%Draw 24%Kataller Toyama 38% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.19
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sagan Tosu welcome Kataller Toyama to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium for a Emperor Cup fixture on Wednesday 26 August (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Sagan Tosu, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tochigi City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Imabari, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.2 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 38%, draw 24%, Kataller Toyama 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sagan Tosu38%fair 2.64 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Kataller Toyama38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
2.38Expected goals
1.19Sagan Tosu xG
1.19Kataller Toyama xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.2 – 1.2 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKataller Toyama to win ✗38%2.642.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.85
Draw no betKataller Toyama (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapSagan Tosu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreKataller Toyama to score first ✗45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.84–

Recent results

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LDWWLW
22 Augvs Tochigi City1–3L
16 Aug@ Tokushima Vortis0–0D
8 Augvs Ventforet Kofu2–0W
6 Junvs Shonan Bellmare1–0W
30 May@ Tokushima Vortis1–3L
10 May@ Oita Trinita1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWLWLW
22 Augvs Imabari4–0W
15 Aug@ Blaublitz Akita4–0W
8 Aug@ Vanraure Hachinohe0–2L
30 Mayvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–0W
23 May@ Nara Club1–5L
10 May@ Ehime FC2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Kataller Toyama.

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Machida Zelvia3 Grulla Morioka0 172%1.11X17%7.40210%18.50 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.90 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Ventforet Kofu3 143%1.98X23%3.20234%3.65 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Imabari4 Blaublitz Akita1 138%2.74X23%3.10239%2.48 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Iwaki0 Oita Trinita0 AET 2–0 156%1.94X24%3.30220%3.65 1.7–0.9xG 1XIwaki or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Jubilo Iwata0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki0 AET 0–1 138%2.18X23%3.20239%3.15 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Fujieda MYFC3 AET 3–5 144%2.24X23%3.20233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Omiya Ardija2 Vanraure Hachinohe0 160%1.75X23%3.50216%4.33 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai1 Tochigi City2 155%1.94X24%3.30221%3.70 1.6–0.9xG 1XVegalta Sendai or draw 79%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kataller Toyama 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.