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Jubilo Iwata v Tegevajaro Miyazaki: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Yamaha Stadium
0–0
FTAET 0–1
Jubilo Iwata 38%Draw 23%Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.22
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✗39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.63

Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 26 August the Emperor Cup brings Jubilo Iwata against Tegevajaro Miyazaki at Yamaha Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Jubilo Iwata, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tokushima Vortis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shonan Bellmare, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jubilo Iwata 1.2 xG, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jubilo Iwata 38%, draw 23%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jubilo Iwata38%fair 2.62 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Tegevajaro Miyazaki39%fair 2.57 · @3.15
2.42Expected goals
1.20Jubilo Iwata xG
1.22Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.2 – 1.2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✗39%2.573.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betTegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapJubilo Iwata +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.461.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreTegevajaro Miyazaki to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✗21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.63–

Recent results

Jubilo Iwata – last 6

WLDWLL
22 Augvs Tokushima Vortis2–1W
16 Aug@ Yokohama FC1–3L
8 Augvs Blaublitz Akita1–1D
23 May@ Consadole Sapporo1–0W
16 Mayvs Fujieda MYFC0–3L
10 May@ Fukushima United2–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6

DDLDWL
22 Augvs Shonan Bellmare0–0D
15 Aug@ Ventforet Kofu1–1D
8 Augvs Yokohama FC0–1L
15 Jul@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
6 Junvs Ventforet Kofu2–1W
30 May@ Kataller Toyama0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%.

How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.