Value bet: Asti to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDerthona to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
Derthona vs Asti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Serie D Girone A brings Derthona against Asti. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Asti are 10th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Derthona, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Chisola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Asti, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lascaris, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Derthona 1–1 Asti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.3 xG, Asti 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 41%, draw 23%, Asti 36%.
Price worth noting: Asti to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Asti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona41%fair 2.42 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Asti36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.48Expected goals
1.30Derthona xG
1.18Asti xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.3 – 1.2 Asti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Derthona vs Asti?
On our numbers Derthona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Asti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Asti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Asti?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Asti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Asti?
Derthona vs Asti (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
