Value bet: Millesimo to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMillesimo to win ✓44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Fezzanese vs Millesimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Fezzanese v Millesimo in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Fezzanese are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Millesimo are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Fezzanese, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alessandria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Millesimo, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Borgosesia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Millesimo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Fezzanese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fezzanese 1.1 xG, Millesimo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fezzanese 34%, draw 22%, Millesimo 44%.
Price worth noting: Millesimo to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fezzanese 1–1 Millesimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fezzanese34%fair 2.94 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Millesimo44%fair 2.26 · @2.60
2.41Expected goals
1.10Fezzanese xG
1.31Millesimo xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Fezzanese 1.1 – 1.3 Millesimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millesimo to win✓
44%
2.26
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Millesimo (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Fezzanese +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Millesimo to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millesimo / FT Millesimo✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Recent results
Fezzanese – last 6
LLLLWW
11 Oct
@ Alessandria
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Valenzana
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Imperia
0–2
L
21 Sep
vs Gozzano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sestri Levante
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chisola
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Millesimo – last 6
WLLWLW
11 Oct
vs Borgosesia
3–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sanremese
2–5
L
4 Oct
@ Asti
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Lascaris
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Derthona
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Alessandria
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fezzanese and Millesimo.
What is the prediction for Fezzanese vs Millesimo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Millesimo?
On our numbers Fezzanese have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millesimo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Fezzanese vs Millesimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fezzanese vs Millesimo?
Our predicted score is Fezzanese 1–1 Millesimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fezzanese vs Millesimo?
Fezzanese vs Millesimo (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
