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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ligorna v Bra: numbers & prediction

Ligorna

WWWWL
1–2
FT

Bra

DWLDL
Ligorna 59%Draw 21%Bra 21% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.90
59%
Betarazi pick

Ligorna to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLigorna to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✗79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17

Ligorna vs Bra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Ligorna v Bra in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Bra are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Ligorna, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gozzano, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Bra, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Saluzzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Bra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.8 xG, Bra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 59%, draw 21%, Bra 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Bra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ligorna59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Bra21%fair 4.88 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.76Ligorna xG
0.90Bra xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.9 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLigorna to win ✗59%1.701.62
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✗79%1.261.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betLigorna (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapBra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLigorna to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLigorna ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ligorna / FT Ligorna ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.17–

Recent results

Ligorna – last 6

WWWWLL
11 Oct@ Gozzano4–0W
4 Octvs Saluzzo2–1W
27 Sep@ Chisola2–1W
20 Sep@ Celle Varazze2–0W
16 Sepvs Derthona2–3L
13 Sep@ Biellese1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bra – last 6

DWLDLL
11 Octvs Saluzzo1–1D
7 Octvs Celle Varazze2–0W
4 Oct@ Sanremese0–3L
20 Sep@ Borgosesia1–1D
16 Sepvs Biellese0–1L
12 Sep@ Lascaris0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Bra.

Ligorna vs Bra head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Bra?

Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Ligorna vs Bra?

On our numbers Ligorna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bra 21%.

How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Bra?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Bra?

Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Bra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ligorna vs Bra?

Ligorna vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.