Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✗79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Ligorna vs Bra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Ligorna v Bra in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Bra are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gozzano, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Bra, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Saluzzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Bra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.8 xG, Bra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 59%, draw 21%, Bra 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Bra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Bra21%fair 4.88 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.76Ligorna xG
0.90Bra xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.9 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Bra +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 6
WWWWLL
11 Oct
@ Gozzano
4–0
W
4 Oct
vs Saluzzo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Chisola
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Derthona
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bra – last 6
DWLDLL
11 Oct
vs Saluzzo
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Celle Varazze
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sanremese
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Borgosesia
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Biellese
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Lascaris
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Bra.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ligorna vs Bra?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bra 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Bra?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Bra?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Bra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Bra?
Ligorna vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.