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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sanremese v Sestri Levante: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Sanremese 62%Draw 20%Sestri Levante 18% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.75
62%
Betarazi pick

Sanremese to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanremese to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceSanremese or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.75

Sanremese vs Sestri Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sanremese welcome Sestri Levante for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Sanremese are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Sestri Levante are 12th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Sanremese, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valenzana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Sestri Levante, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Celle Varazze, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Sestri Levante 0–2 Sanremese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanremese 1.7 xG, Sestri Levante 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanremese 62%, draw 20%, Sestri Levante 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sanremese or draw (82%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanremese to win (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanremese 1–0 Sestri Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanremese62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Sestri Levante18%fair 5.45 · @3.80
2.43Expected goals
1.68Sanremese xG
0.75Sestri Levante xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sanremese 1.7 – 0.7 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanremese to win ✓62%1.631.80 ▲
Double chanceSanremese or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betSanremese (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSestri Levante +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSanremese to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanremese / FT Sanremese ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.75–

Recent results

Sanremese – last 6

DWWLDL
11 Oct@ Valenzana1–1D
7 Octvs Millesimo5–2W
4 Octvs Bra3–0W
27 Sep@ Gozzano1–2L
20 Sepvs Saluzzo2–2D
16 Sep@ Chisola0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sestri Levante – last 6

DWWLDL
11 Octvs Celle Varazze1–1D
7 Octvs Pistoiese1–0W
4 Oct@ Borgosesia1–0W
27 Sepvs Biellese1–2L
20 Sep@ Lascaris1–1D
16 Sepvs Fezzanese0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Sestri Levante v Sanremese0–2
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanremese vs Sestri Levante?

Our pick is Sanremese to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Sanremese vs Sestri Levante?

On our numbers Sanremese have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sestri Levante 18%.

How many goals will there be in Sanremese vs Sestri Levante?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanremese vs Sestri Levante?

Our predicted score is Sanremese 1–0 Sestri Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sanremese vs Sestri Levante?

Sanremese vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.