Borgosesia vs Alessandria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Borgosesia welcome Alessandria for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Borgosesia are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Alessandria are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Borgosesia, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Asti, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Alessandria, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Biellese, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Alessandria, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Borgosesia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borgosesia 0.9 xG, Alessandria 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borgosesia 21%, draw 20%, Alessandria 59%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borgosesia 1–1 Alessandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borgosesia21%fair 4.85 · @4.54
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.45
Alessandria59%fair 1.69 · @1.72
2.76Expected goals
0.94Borgosesia xG
1.81Alessandria xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: Borgosesia 0.9 – 1.8 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
59%
1.69
1.72
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Borgosesia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Alessandria ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Borgosesia – last 6
WWLLDW
25 Oct
@ Asti
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Imperia
4–2
W
11 Oct
@ Millesimo
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Sestri Levante
0–1
L
30 Sep
@ Chisola
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alessandria – last 6
WWWLWW
25 Oct
vs Biellese
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lascaris
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Fezzanese
2–0
W
7 Oct
@ Biellese
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Derthona
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Imperia
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borgosesia and Alessandria.
What is the prediction for Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Borgosesia have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alessandria 59%.
How many goals will there be in Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
Our predicted score is Borgosesia 1–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Borgosesia vs Alessandria?
Borgosesia vs Alessandria (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
