Value bet: Valenzana to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValenzana to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Celle Varazze vs Valenzana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valenzana travel to face Celle Varazze on Sunday 1 November in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Celle Varazze are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Valenzana are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celle Varazze, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Imperia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Valenzana, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Biellese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valenzana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Celle Varazze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celle Varazze 1.2 xG, Valenzana 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celle Varazze 34%, draw 23%, Valenzana 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Valenzana to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celle Varazze 1–1 Valenzana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celle Varazze34%fair 2.97 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.05
Valenzana43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
2.51Expected goals
1.15Celle Varazze xG
1.35Valenzana xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Celle Varazze 1.2 – 1.4 Valenzana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenzana to win✗
43%
2.32
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.88
Draw no bet
Valenzana (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Celle Varazze +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Valenzana to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenzana / FT Valenzana✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Celle Varazze – last 6
LLDLLL
25 Oct
@ Imperia
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Gozzano
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Bra
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Chisola
0–4
L
20 Sep
vs Ligorna
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valenzana – last 6
WLLDWW
28 Oct
vs Biellese
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Ligorna
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Biellese
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sanremese
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Saluzzo
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Fezzanese
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celle Varazze and Valenzana.
What is the prediction for Celle Varazze vs Valenzana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Valenzana?
On our numbers Celle Varazze have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valenzana 43%.
How many goals will there be in Celle Varazze vs Valenzana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celle Varazze vs Valenzana?
Our predicted score is Celle Varazze 1–1 Valenzana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celle Varazze vs Valenzana?
Celle Varazze vs Valenzana (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
