Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Ligorna v Sestri Levante in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Sestri Levante are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valenzana, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sestri Levante, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Saluzzo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Sestri Levante.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.7 xG, Sestri Levante 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 58%, draw 23%, Sestri Levante 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.81.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Sestri Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna58%fair 1.72 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Sestri Levante19%fair 5.16 · @4.93
2.56Expected goals
1.70Ligorna xG
0.86Sestri Levante xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.7 – 0.9 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
58%
1.72
1.69
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.81
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Sestri Levante +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 6
WLWWWW
25 Oct
@ Valenzana
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Bra
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Gozzano
4–0
W
4 Oct
vs Saluzzo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Chisola
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sestri Levante – last 6
DLDWWL
25 Oct
vs Saluzzo
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Sanremese
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Celle Varazze
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Pistoiese
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Borgosesia
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Biellese
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Sestri Levante.
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sestri Levante 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Sestri Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
