Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Lascaris to win @ 3.31 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDerthona to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Derthona vs Lascaris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lascaris travel to face Derthona on Sunday 1 November in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Lascaris are 14th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Derthona, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lascaris, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fezzanese, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.2 xG, Lascaris 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 42%, draw 23%, Lascaris 34%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Lascaris to win @3.31 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Lascaris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.05
Lascaris34%fair 2.91 · @3.31
2.16Expected goals
1.16Derthona xG
1.00Lascaris xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.2 – 1.0 Lascaris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derthona to win✓
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.84
Draw no bet
Derthona (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Lascaris +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Derthona to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derthona / FT Derthona✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Recent results
Derthona – last 6
DDLLDW
25 Oct
@ Bra
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Asti
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Chisola
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Alessandria
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lascaris – last 6
LLWDLD
25 Oct
vs Fezzanese
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Alessandria
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Asti
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Imperia
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Millesimo
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Lascaris.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Derthona vs Lascaris?
On our numbers Derthona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lascaris 34%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Lascaris?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Lascaris?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Lascaris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Lascaris?
Derthona vs Lascaris (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.