Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLuparense to win ✓46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Brian Lignano vs Luparense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luparense travel to face Brian Lignano on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone C – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Brian Lignano are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Luparense are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brian Lignano, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Calvi Noale, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Luparense, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Clodiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Luparense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Brian Lignano.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Luparense 1–1 Brian Lignano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brian Lignano 1.3 xG, Luparense 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brian Lignano 33%, draw 21%, Luparense 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brian Lignano 1–1 Luparense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brian Lignano33%fair 3.05 · @2.94
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.72
Luparense46%fair 2.16 · @2.28
2.85Expected goals
1.28Brian Lignano xG
1.58Luparense xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Brian Lignano 1.3 – 1.6 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
On our numbers Brian Lignano have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Luparense 46%.
How many goals will there be in Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Brian Lignano 1–1 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Brian Lignano vs Luparense?
Brian Lignano vs Luparense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
