Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.29
Triestina vs FC Obermais: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Serie D Girone C brings Triestina against FC Obermais at Stadio Nereo Rocco. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Triestina are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; FC Obermais are 11th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Triestina, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cjarlins Muzane, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FC Obermais, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mestre, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Obermais, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Triestina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Triestina 1.8 xG, FC Obermais 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Triestina 58%, draw 21%, FC Obermais 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Triestina to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triestina 1–0 FC Obermais. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Triestina58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
FC Obermais21%fair 4.84 · @4.20
2.78Expected goals
1.81Triestina xG
0.97FC Obermais xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Triestina 1.8 – 1.0 FC Obermais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triestina to win✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
Triestina or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Triestina (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
FC Obermais +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Triestina to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Triestina ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triestina / FT Triestina✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.29
–
Recent results
Triestina – last 6
LDLDLL
27 Sep
@ Cjarlins Muzane
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Bassano Virtus
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Campodarsego
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Calvi Noale
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Altavilla
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Albinoleffe
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Obermais – last 6
DLDWLD
27 Sep
vs Mestre
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Conegliano
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs LME
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Este
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cjarlins Muzane
2–5
L
17 May
@ Vigasio
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triestina and FC Obermais.
What is the prediction for Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Our pick is Triestina to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Triestina vs FC Obermais?
On our numbers Triestina have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Obermais 21%.
How many goals will there be in Triestina vs FC Obermais?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Our predicted score is Triestina 1–0 FC Obermais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Triestina vs FC Obermais?
Triestina vs FC Obermais (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nereo Rocco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
