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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus Bolzano v Calvi Noale: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Virtus Bolzano 37%Draw 23%Calvi Noale 41% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.29
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCalvi Noale to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.51

Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Virtus Bolzano v Calvi Noale in the Serie D Girone C. In the table, Virtus Bolzano are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Calvi Noale are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Virtus Bolzano, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Altavilla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Calvi Noale, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brian Lignano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Bolzano 1.2 xG, Calvi Noale 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Bolzano 37%, draw 23%, Calvi Noale 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus Bolzano37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Calvi Noale41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.22Virtus Bolzano xG
1.29Calvi Noale xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Virtus Bolzano 1.2 – 1.3 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCalvi Noale to win ✓41%2.472.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betCalvi Noale (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapVirtus Bolzano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCalvi Noale to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Calvi Noale / FT Calvi Noale ✓22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.51–

Recent results

Virtus Bolzano – last 6

LWLWLL
27 Sep@ Altavilla0–7L
20 Sepvs Sandona2–1W
16 Sep@ Luparense0–4L
13 Sepvs Brian Lignano2–1W
6 Sep@ Clodiense0–2L
25 Jul@ Modena0–5L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Calvi Noale – last 6

LWDDLW
27 Sepvs Brian Lignano0–1L
20 Sep@ Legnago Salus1–0W
16 Sepvs Schio0–0D
13 Sep@ Triestina1–1D
6 Sepvs Mestre0–2L
3 May@ Bassano Virtus1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Virtus Bolzano and Calvi Noale.

Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cjarlins Muzane11812+1225
2Luparense11560+1221
3Sandona11542+519
4Clodiense11542+319
5Campodarsego11533+318
6Mestre11452+417
7Legnago Salus11443+316
8Este11515+116
9Conegliano11434-315
10Bassano Virtus11353014
11FC Obermais11344-213
12Triestina11344-313
13LME11344-413
14Altavilla11254+511
15Virtus Bolzano11326-1611
16Calvi Noale11245-410
17Schio11155-58
18Brian Lignano11128-115

More Serie D Girone C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?

On our numbers Virtus Bolzano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Calvi Noale 41%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?

Our predicted score is Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?

Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.