Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Virtus Bolzano v Calvi Noale in the Serie D Girone C. In the table, Virtus Bolzano are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Calvi Noale are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Virtus Bolzano, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Altavilla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Calvi Noale, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brian Lignano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Bolzano 1.2 xG, Calvi Noale 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Bolzano 37%, draw 23%, Calvi Noale 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Bolzano37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Calvi Noale41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.22Virtus Bolzano xG
1.29Calvi Noale xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Virtus Bolzano 1.2 – 1.3 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvi Noale to win✓
41%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Calvi Noale (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Virtus Bolzano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Calvi Noale to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvi Noale / FT Calvi Noale✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.51
–
Recent results
Virtus Bolzano – last 6
LWLWLL
27 Sep
@ Altavilla
0–7
L
20 Sep
vs Sandona
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Luparense
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Clodiense
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Modena
0–5
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Calvi Noale – last 6
LWDDLW
27 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Legnago Salus
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Schio
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Triestina
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Mestre
0–2
L
3 May
@ Bassano Virtus
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Bolzano and Calvi Noale.
What is the prediction for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
On our numbers Virtus Bolzano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Calvi Noale 41%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Our predicted score is Virtus Bolzano 1–1 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale?
Virtus Bolzano vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.