Double chanceCastellanzese or draw ✓80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Castellanzese vs Crema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castellanzese welcome Crema for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 27 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Castellanzese are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Crema are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Castellanzese, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Solbiatese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Crema, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Pro Sesto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Castellanzese, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Crema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.7 xG, Crema 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 58%, draw 22%, Crema 20%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.84.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–0 Crema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellanzese58%fair 1.73 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
Crema20%fair 5.09 · @4.24
2.53Expected goals
1.68Castellanzese xG
0.85Crema xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.7 – 0.8 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellanzese to win✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Double chance
Castellanzese or draw✓
80%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.84
Draw no bet
Castellanzese (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Crema +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Castellanzese to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Recent results
Castellanzese – last 6
WLLWLD
20 Sep
@ Solbiatese
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Oltrepò
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Lentigione
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–1
W
10 May
vs Varesina
1–2
L
3 May
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crema – last 6
LLLDWL
20 Sep
vs Pro Sesto
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pro Patria
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Pistoiese
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pavia
0–0
D
10 May
vs Coriano
2–0
W
3 May
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Crema.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Crema?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Crema?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crema 20%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Crema?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Crema?
Castellanzese vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
