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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pistoiese v Sant'Angelo: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Pistoiese 71%Draw 19%Sant'Angelo 10% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.60
71%
Betarazi pick

Pistoiese to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPistoiese to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10% · fair 10.01

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Pistoiese v Sant'Angelo in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Pistoiese are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; Sant'Angelo are 9th (upper half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Pistoiese, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Varesina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sant'Angelo, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pavia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pistoiese, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Sant'Angelo.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Sant'Angelo 1–3 Pistoiese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pistoiese 2.0 xG, Sant'Angelo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pistoiese 71%, draw 19%, Sant'Angelo 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pistoiese to win (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pistoiese 2–0 Sant'Angelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pistoiese71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @5.00
Sant'Angelo10%fair 9.72 · @11.00
2.61Expected goals
2.01Pistoiese xG
0.60Sant'Angelo xG
42%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pistoiese 2.0 – 0.6 Sant'Angelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPistoiese to win ✓71%1.411.22
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betPistoiese (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapPistoiese -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scorePistoiese to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultPistoiese ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✓46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10%10.01–

Recent results

Pistoiese – last 6

WWWWDD
20 Sep@ Varesina1–0W
16 Sepvs Arconatese5–0W
13 Sep@ Crema3–1W
6 Sepvs Solbiatese2–0W
14 Aug@ Seravezza0–0D
10 Mayvs Piacenza1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sant'Angelo – last 6

DWDDDD
20 Sepvs Pavia0–0D
16 Sep@ USD Casatese2–1W
13 Sepvs Varesina1–1D
6 Sep@ Correggese1–1D
3 May@ Lentigione2–2D
26 Aprvs Progresso1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Sant'Angelo v Pistoiese1–3
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

On our numbers Pistoiese have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sant'Angelo 10%.

How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Our predicted score is Pistoiese 2–0 Sant'Angelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.