Value bet: San Donato Tavarnelle to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✗43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone E brings Flaminia against San Donato Tavarnelle. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Flaminia are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Flaminia, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Terranuova Traiana, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
San Donato Tavarnelle, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gavorrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Donato Tavarnelle, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Flaminia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flaminia 1.3 xG, San Donato Tavarnelle 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flaminia 35%, draw 23%, San Donato Tavarnelle 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: San Donato Tavarnelle to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flaminia 1–1 San Donato Tavarnelle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flaminia35%fair 2.90 · @2.49
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.15
San Donato Tavarnelle43%fair 2.35 · @2.60
2.78Expected goals
1.30Flaminia xG
1.48San Donato Tavarnelle xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Flaminia 1.3 – 1.5 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✗
43%
2.35
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.84
Draw no bet
San Donato Tavarnelle (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Flaminia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
San Donato Tavarnelle to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Donato Tavarnelle / FT San Donato Tavarnelle✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Flaminia – last 6
LDWWLD
20 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–5
L
16 Sep
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Grassina
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Lazio
0–6
L
10 May
@ Monastir
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
LDWWDW
20 Sep
vs Gavorrano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Seravezza
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Robur Siena
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Grosseto
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flaminia and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Flaminia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Donato Tavarnelle 43%.
How many goals will there be in Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Flaminia 1–1 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Flaminia vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
