Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultGavorrano to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceGavorrano or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Gavorrano v Sasso Marconi Zola in the Serie D Girone E. In the table, Gavorrano are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Sasso Marconi Zola are 13th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Gavorrano, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Donato Tavarnelle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sasso Marconi Zola, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Prato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gavorrano, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.8 xG, Sasso Marconi Zola 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 64%, draw 24%, Sasso Marconi Zola 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gavorrano to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gavorrano64%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Sasso Marconi Zola12%fair 8.58 · @4.50
2.40Expected goals
1.78Gavorrano xG
0.62Sasso Marconi Zola xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.8 – 0.6 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavorrano to win✓
64%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Gavorrano or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Gavorrano (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Gavorrano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Gavorrano to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Gavorrano ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.22
–
Recent results
Gavorrano – last 6
WWDWWL
20 Sep
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ternana
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Grassina
2–0
W
10 May
vs Camaiore
3–2
W
3 May
vs Tau Altopascio
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6
LDLWDL
20 Sep
vs Prato
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Flaminia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
2–1
W
10 May
@ Imolese
0–0
D
3 May
@ Progresso
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Sasso Marconi Zola.
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our pick is Gavorrano to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sasso Marconi Zola 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
