Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Lucchese vs Robur Siena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone E brings Lucchese against Robur Siena at Porta Elisa. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Lucchese are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Robur Siena are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Lucchese, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rondinella, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Robur Siena, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Montevarchi Calcio, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lucchese 1.5 xG, Robur Siena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lucchese 43%, draw 23%, Robur Siena 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lucchese 2–1 Robur Siena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lucchese43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Robur Siena34%fair 2.92 · @2.80
2.88Expected goals
1.54Lucchese xG
1.34Robur Siena xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lucchese 1.5 – 1.3 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lucchese to win✓
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Lucchese (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Robur Siena +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Lucchese to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lucchese / FT Lucchese✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Lucchese – last 4
DWLW
20 Sep
@ Rondinella
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Progresso
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Seravezza
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs Montevarchi Calcio
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Robur Siena – last 6
WLWDDW
20 Sep
vs Montevarchi Calcio
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Tau Altopascio
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Mezzolara
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Scandicci
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lucchese and Robur Siena.
What is the prediction for Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Lucchese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Robur Siena 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Lucchese 2–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lucchese vs Robur Siena?
Lucchese vs Robur Siena (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Porta Elisa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
