Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 2.77 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGavorrano to win ✗41% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Flaminia vs Gavorrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flaminia welcome Gavorrano for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Flaminia are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Gavorrano are 4th (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Flaminia, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Donato Tavarnelle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Gavorrano, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sasso Marconi Zola, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gavorrano, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Flaminia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flaminia 1.3 xG, Gavorrano 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flaminia 38%, draw 21%, Gavorrano 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Gavorrano to win @2.77 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flaminia 1–1 Gavorrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flaminia38%fair 2.64 · @2.44
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.56
Gavorrano41%fair 2.45 · @2.77
2.58Expected goals
1.26Flaminia xG
1.32Gavorrano xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Flaminia 1.3 – 1.3 Gavorrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavorrano to win✗
41%
2.45
2.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.88
Draw no bet
Gavorrano (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Flaminia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Gavorrano to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Flaminia – last 6
WLDWWL
27 Sep
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–5
L
16 Sep
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Grassina
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Lazio
0–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gavorrano – last 6
WWWDWW
27 Sep
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ternana
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Grassina
2–0
W
10 May
vs Camaiore
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flaminia and Gavorrano.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Flaminia vs Gavorrano?
On our numbers Flaminia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gavorrano 41%.
How many goals will there be in Flaminia vs Gavorrano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flaminia vs Gavorrano?
Our predicted score is Flaminia 1–1 Gavorrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Flaminia vs Gavorrano?
Flaminia vs Gavorrano (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
