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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Robur Siena v Seravezza: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Robur Siena 41%Draw 23%Seravezza 36% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.41
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.08 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.08Odds
2

Value bet: Seravezza to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRobur Siena to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.46

Robur Siena vs Seravezza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Seravezza travel to face Robur Siena on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone E – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Robur Siena are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Seravezza are 10th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Robur Siena, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lucchese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Seravezza, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Terranuova Traiana, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Seravezza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Robur Siena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Robur Siena 1.5 xG, Seravezza 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Robur Siena 41%, draw 23%, Seravezza 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Seravezza to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.08 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Robur Siena 2–1 Seravezza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Robur Siena41%fair 2.42 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Seravezza36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.53Robur Siena xG
1.41Seravezza xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Robur Siena 1.5 – 1.4 Seravezza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRobur Siena to win ✓41%2.422.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betRobur Siena (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapSeravezza +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.962.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreRobur Siena to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.46–

Recent results

Robur Siena – last 6

LWLWDD
27 Sep@ Lucchese2–3L
20 Sepvs Montevarchi Calcio3–0W
16 Sep@ Tau Altopascio2–3L
12 Sepvs Mezzolara3–0W
6 Sep@ Scandicci1–1D
23 Augvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Seravezza – last 6

WWDWLD
27 Sepvs Terranuova Traiana3–0W
20 Sep@ Progresso3–0W
16 Sepvs Montevarchi Calcio1–1D
12 Sepvs Lucchese5–0W
6 Sep@ San Donato Tavarnelle1–2L
14 Augvs Pistoiese0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Seravezza.

Robur Siena vs Seravezza head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Seravezza?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.08.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Seravezza?

On our numbers Robur Siena have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Seravezza 36%.

How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Seravezza?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Seravezza?

Our predicted score is Robur Siena 2–1 Seravezza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Robur Siena vs Seravezza?

Robur Siena vs Seravezza (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.