Francavilla vs Brindisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Francavilla v Brindisi in the Serie D Girone H. In the table, Francavilla are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Brindisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Francavilla, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Melfi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Brindisi, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Turris, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Francavilla 1.3 xG, Brindisi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Francavilla 40%, draw 24%, Brindisi 35%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.89.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Francavilla 1–1 Brindisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Francavilla40%fair 2.49 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
Brindisi35%fair 2.83 · @2.95
2.49Expected goals
1.30Francavilla xG
1.19Brindisi xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Francavilla 1.3 – 1.2 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Francavilla to win✗
40%
2.49
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.89
Draw no bet
Francavilla (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Brindisi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Francavilla to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Francavilla / FT Francavilla✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
Francavilla – last 6
LLLWWD
20 Sep
@ Melfi
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs USD Palmese
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ischia
1–0
W
3 May
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sarnese
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brindisi – last 4
LLWL
20 Sep
vs Turris
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Fidelis Andria
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Francavilla and Brindisi.
What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Francavilla vs Brindisi?
On our numbers Francavilla have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brindisi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Brindisi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our predicted score is Francavilla 1–1 Brindisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Francavilla vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
