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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Normanna v Gravina: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Gravina

DDWWW
Real Normanna 39%Draw 23%Gravina 38% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.51
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: Gravina to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReal Normanna to win ✓39% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Real Normanna vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gravina travel to face Real Normanna on Sunday 27 September in the Serie D Girone H – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Real Normanna are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Gravina are 4th (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Real Normanna, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over USD Palmese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Gravina, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Forio 2014, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Gravina, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Real Normanna.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Gravina 3–2 Real Normanna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Normanna 1.5 xG, Gravina 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Normanna 39%, draw 23%, Gravina 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Gravina to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Normanna 1–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Normanna39%fair 2.58 · @2.39
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Gravina38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
3.04Expected goals
1.53Real Normanna xG
1.51Gravina xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Real Normanna 1.5 – 1.5 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Normanna to win ✓39%2.582.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.31–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.83
Draw no betReal Normanna (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapGravina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.09
First team to scoreReal Normanna to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Normanna / FT Real Normanna ✓23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Real Normanna – last 6

WLDWLW
20 Sep@ USD Palmese4–3W
16 Sepvs Martina Franca1–2L
12 Sep@ Ischia2–2D
6 Sepvs Melfi2–0W
3 May@ Gravina2–3L
26 Aprvs Città di Fasano2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gravina – last 6

DDWWWW
20 Sepvs Real Forio 20142–2D
16 Sep@ Turris0–0D
12 Sepvs Gladiator3–1W
6 Sep@ Fidelis Andria3–1W
3 Mayvs Real Normanna3–2W
26 Apr@ Afragolese6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Gravina v Real Normanna3–2
Real Normanna vs Gravina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Normanna vs Gravina?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Real Normanna vs Gravina?

On our numbers Real Normanna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gravina 38%.

How many goals will there be in Real Normanna vs Gravina?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Normanna vs Gravina?

Our predicted score is Real Normanna 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Real Normanna vs Gravina?

Real Normanna vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.