Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Virtus Francavilla travel to face Gravina on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone H – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Gravina are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Virtus Francavilla are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Gravina, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Normanna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Virtus Francavilla, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gladiator, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Virtus Francavilla, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Gravina.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Virtus Francavilla 0–1 Gravina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gravina 1.3 xG, Virtus Francavilla 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gravina 35%, draw 20%, Virtus Francavilla 45%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gravina 1–1 Virtus Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gravina35%fair 2.85 · @2.79
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.82
Virtus Francavilla45%fair 2.23 · @2.32
2.77Expected goals
1.28Gravina xG
1.49Virtus Francavilla xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gravina 1.3 – 1.5 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
On our numbers Gravina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Virtus Francavilla 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Our predicted score is Gravina 1–1 Virtus Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
