Martina Franca 64%Draw 19%Francavilla 16%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.79
64%
Betarazi pick
Martina Franca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultMartina Franca to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceMartina Franca or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.64
Martina Franca vs Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Martina Franca v Francavilla in the Serie D Girone H. In the table, Martina Franca are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Francavilla are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Martina Franca, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nardò, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Francavilla, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brindisi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Martina Franca, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Francavilla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Martina Franca 1.9 xG, Francavilla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Martina Franca 64%, draw 19%, Francavilla 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Martina Franca to win (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Martina Franca64%fair 1.56 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Francavilla16%fair 6.10 · @5.75
2.66Expected goals
1.87Martina Franca xG
0.79Francavilla xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Martina Franca 1.9 – 0.8 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Martina Franca to win✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Double chance
Martina Franca or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Martina Franca (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Martina Franca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Martina Franca to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Martina Franca ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Martina Franca / FT Martina Franca✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.64
–
Recent results
Martina Franca – last 6
WLWWLL
27 Sep
@ Nardò
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Real Normanna
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Forio 2014
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Turris
3–4
L
17 May
vs Paganese
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Francavilla – last 6
LLLLWW
27 Sep
vs Brindisi
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Melfi
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs USD Palmese
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ischia
1–0
W
3 May
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martina Franca and Francavilla.
What is the prediction for Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Our pick is Martina Franca to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
On our numbers Martina Franca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Francavilla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Our predicted score is Martina Franca 1–0 Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Martina Franca vs Francavilla?
Martina Franca vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
