Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEbolitana to win ✗42% · @2.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Ischia vs Ebolitana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ischia welcome Ebolitana for a Serie D Girone H fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Ischia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Ebolitana are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ischia, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bisceglie, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Ebolitana, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melfi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ebolitana, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.2 for Ischia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ischia 1.4 xG, Ebolitana 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ischia 38%, draw 20%, Ebolitana 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.71 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ischia 1–1 Ebolitana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ischia38%fair 2.61 · @2.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.81
Ebolitana42%fair 2.40 · @2.53
2.87Expected goals
1.40Ischia xG
1.47Ebolitana xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ischia 1.4 – 1.5 Ebolitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebolitana to win✗
42%
2.40
2.53 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.71 ▲
Draw no bet
Ebolitana (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Ischia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Ebolitana to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebolitana / FT Ebolitana✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Ischia – last 6
LLLDLL
27 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Nardò
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Nocerina
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Real Normanna
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Francavilla
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Juve Stabia
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ebolitana – last 5
WLWDL
27 Sep
vs Melfi
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Manfredonia
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Bisceglie
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nardò
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Nocerina
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ischia and Ebolitana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ischia vs Ebolitana?
On our numbers Ischia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ebolitana 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ischia vs Ebolitana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ischia vs Ebolitana?
Our predicted score is Ischia 1–1 Ebolitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ischia vs Ebolitana?
Ischia vs Ebolitana (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
