Value bet: Gravina to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGravina to win ✗43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Ebolitana vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gravina travel to face Ebolitana on Sunday 25 October in the Serie D Girone H – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ebolitana are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Gravina are 4th (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Ebolitana, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to USD Palmese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gravina, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Francavilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ebolitana 1.2 xG, Gravina 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ebolitana 33%, draw 24%, Gravina 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Gravina to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebolitana 1–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ebolitana33%fair 3.02 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Gravina43%fair 2.34 · @2.60
2.52Expected goals
1.16Ebolitana xG
1.36Gravina xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ebolitana 1.2 – 1.4 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gravina to win✗
43%
2.34
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.88
Draw no bet
Gravina (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Ebolitana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Gravina to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gravina / FT Gravina✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Ebolitana – last 6
LLDWLW
18 Oct
@ USD Palmese
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Martina Franca
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Ischia
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Melfi
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Manfredonia
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Bisceglie
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 6
DDLWLD
18 Oct
vs Francavilla
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Nardò
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Virtus Francavilla
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Virtus Francavilla
4–2
W
27 Sep
@ Real Normanna
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Real Forio 2014
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebolitana and Gravina.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Ebolitana vs Gravina?
On our numbers Ebolitana have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gravina 43%.
How many goals will there be in Ebolitana vs Gravina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebolitana vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Ebolitana 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ebolitana vs Gravina?
Ebolitana vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
