Value bet: Martina Franca to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMartina Franca to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceMartina Franca or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ischia vs Martina Franca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Serie D Girone H brings Ischia against Martina Franca. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ischia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Martina Franca are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ischia, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Manfredonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Martina Franca, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nocerina, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Martina Franca, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Ischia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ischia 1.0 xG, Martina Franca 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ischia 19%, draw 21%, Martina Franca 60%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Martina Franca to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ischia 0–2 Martina Franca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ischia19%fair 5.31 · @3.54
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Martina Franca60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.87Expected goals
0.96Ischia xG
1.91Martina Franca xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Ischia 1.0 – 1.9 Martina Franca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Martina Franca to win✗
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Martina Franca or draw✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.74
Draw no bet
Martina Franca (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Ischia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Martina Franca to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Martina Franca ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Martina Franca / FT Martina Franca✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Ischia – last 6
LWDLLL
18 Oct
@ Manfredonia
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Melfi
3–0
W
4 Oct
vs Ebolitana
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Nardò
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Nocerina
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Martina Franca – last 6
WWWWLW
18 Oct
vs Nocerina
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Ebolitana
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Francavilla
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Nardò
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Real Normanna
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ischia and Martina Franca.
What is the prediction for Ischia vs Martina Franca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ischia vs Martina Franca?
On our numbers Ischia have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Martina Franca 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ischia vs Martina Franca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ischia vs Martina Franca?
Our predicted score is Ischia 0–2 Martina Franca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ischia vs Martina Franca?
Ischia vs Martina Franca (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
