Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.88
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manfredonia travel to face Virtus Francavilla on Sunday 25 October in the Serie D Girone H, with Stadio Giovanni Paolo II the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Virtus Francavilla are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Manfredonia are 6th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Virtus Francavilla, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fidelis Andria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Manfredonia, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ischia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Francavilla 1.8 xG, Manfredonia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Francavilla 59%, draw 24%, Manfredonia 17%.
Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Virtus Francavilla to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Manfredonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Francavilla59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Manfredonia17%fair 5.77 · @4.20
2.75Expected goals
1.85Virtus Francavilla xG
0.90Manfredonia xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.8 – 0.9 Manfredonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Virtus Francavilla or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Virtus Francavilla (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Manfredonia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Virtus Francavilla to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.88
–
Recent results
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
LWWLWW
18 Oct
@ Fidelis Andria
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Real Forio 2014
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Gravina
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Gravina
2–4
L
27 Sep
vs Gladiator
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Martina Franca
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Manfredonia – last 6
WLWWWD
18 Oct
vs Ischia
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Turris
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Bisceglie
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Ebolitana
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Fidelis Andria
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Manfredonia.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manfredonia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Manfredonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
