Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultNocerina to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceNocerina or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Nocerina vs Gladiator: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Serie D Girone H brings Nocerina against Gladiator. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Nocerina are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Gladiator are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Nocerina, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Martina Franca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gladiator, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Real Normanna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nocerina 2.1 xG, Gladiator 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nocerina 61%, draw 20%, Gladiator 19%.
Lower-risk option: Nocerina or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nocerina to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nocerina 2–1 Gladiator. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nocerina61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.75
Gladiator19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
3.11Expected goals
2.05Nocerina xG
1.05Gladiator xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nocerina 2.1 – 1.1 Gladiator expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nocerina to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Nocerina or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Nocerina (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Nocerina -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Nocerina to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Nocerina ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nocerina / FT Nocerina✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Nocerina – last 6
LLDWWL
18 Oct
@ Martina Franca
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Brindisi
0–1
L
7 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Melfi
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs USD Palmese
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gladiator – last 6
DDDLWL
18 Oct
vs Real Normanna
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Francavilla
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Fidelis Andria
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nocerina and Gladiator.
Our pick is Nocerina to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nocerina vs Gladiator?
On our numbers Nocerina have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gladiator 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nocerina vs Gladiator?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Our predicted score is Nocerina 2–1 Gladiator, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Nocerina vs Gladiator (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
