Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Korabi Peshkopi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKorabi Peshkopi to win ✓40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.54
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 1st Division brings Besëlidhja Lezhë against Korabi Peshkopi. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Besëlidhja Lezhë are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Korabi Peshkopi are 8th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Korabi Peshkopi, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oriku, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Besëlidhja Lezhë 1.0 xG, Korabi Peshkopi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Besëlidhja Lezhë 39%, draw 21%, Korabi Peshkopi 40%.
Price worth noting: Korabi Peshkopi to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–1 Korabi Peshkopi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Besëlidhja Lezhë39%fair 2.57 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Korabi Peshkopi40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
2.06Expected goals
1.02Besëlidhja Lezhë xG
1.04Korabi Peshkopi xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Besëlidhja Lezhë 1.0 – 1.0 Korabi Peshkopi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korabi Peshkopi to win✓
40%
2.50
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Korabi Peshkopi (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Besëlidhja Lezhë +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Korabi Peshkopi to score first✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.54
–
Recent results
Besëlidhja Lezhë – last 1
L
5 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Korabi Peshkopi – last 6
WDDWDW
6 Sep
vs Oriku
1–0
W
3 May
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ FK Kukesi
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Luftëtari
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Skenderbeu Korce
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Kastrioti Krujë
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Besëlidhja Lezhë and Korabi Peshkopi.
What is the prediction for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
On our numbers Besëlidhja Lezhë have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Korabi Peshkopi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Our predicted score is Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–1 Korabi Peshkopi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
