Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci welcome Kastrioti Krujë for a 1st Division fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Kastrioti Krujë are 9th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Iliria Fushë-Krujë, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kastrioti Krujë, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Burreli, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Pogradeci 3–0 Kastrioti Krujë.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.0 xG, Kastrioti Krujë 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 74%, draw 16%, Kastrioti Krujë 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @5.25
Kastrioti Krujë9%fair 10.87 · @9.50
2.55Expected goals
2.04Pogradeci xG
0.52Kastrioti Krujë xG
42%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.0 – 0.5 Kastrioti Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kastrioti Krujë 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
