Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIliria Fushë-Krujë to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceIliria Fushë-Krujë or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.48
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Kukesi travel to face Iliria Fushë-Krujë on Saturday 12 September in the 1st Division – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Iliria Fushë-Krujë are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 10 matches; FK Kukesi are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Iliria Fushë-Krujë, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pogradeci, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FK Kukesi, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Besëlidhja Lezhë, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Kukesi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–1 FK Kukesi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.3 xG, FK Kukesi 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iliria Fushë-Krujë 61%, draw 21%, FK Kukesi 18%.
Lower-risk option: Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 FK Kukesi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iliria Fushë-Krujë61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
FK Kukesi18%fair 5.51 · @3.50
1.73Expected goals
1.26Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
0.47FK Kukesi xG
35%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–018%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.3 – 0.5 FK Kukesi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Our pick is Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
On our numbers Iliria Fushë-Krujë have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Kukesi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Our predicted score is Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 FK Kukesi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
