Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultIliria Fushë-Krujë to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceIliria Fushë-Krujë or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.80
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burreli travel to face Iliria Fushë-Krujë on Saturday 17 October in the 1st Division – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Iliria Fushë-Krujë are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Iliria Fushë-Krujë, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Besa Kavajë, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Burreli, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Besëlidhja Lezhë, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Iliria Fushë-Krujë, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Burreli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.7 xG, Burreli 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 39%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iliria Fushë-Krujë 62%, draw 26%, Burreli 12%.
Lower-risk option: Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iliria Fushë-Krujë62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Burreli12%fair 8.29 · @4.33
2.26Expected goals
1.66Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
0.61Burreli xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.7 – 0.6 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Iliria Fushë-Krujë (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Iliria Fushë-Krujë -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Iliria Fushë-Krujë to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iliria Fushë-Krujë / FT Iliria Fushë-Krujë✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.80
–
Recent results
Iliria Fushë-Krujë – last 6
LWDDWD
11 Oct
@ Besa Kavajë
0–2
L
7 Oct
vs Veleçiku Koplik
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Bylis
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Korabi Peshkopi
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs FK Kukesi
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Pogradeci
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burreli – last 6
DLWLDD
11 Oct
vs Besëlidhja Lezhë
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Eagle FA
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Oriku
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Sopoti Librazhd
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Flamurtari
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iliria Fushë-Krujë and Burreli.
What is the prediction for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli?
Our pick is Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli?
On our numbers Iliria Fushë-Krujë have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burreli 12%.
How many goals will there be in Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli?
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
