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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pogradeci v Sopoti Librazhd: numbers & prediction

1st Division · Albania
2–2
FT
Pogradeci 73%Draw 20%Sopoti Librazhd 6% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.53
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPogradeci to win ✗73% · @1.17
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89

Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogradeci welcome Sopoti Librazhd for a 1st Division fixture on Saturday 17 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sopoti Librazhd are 11th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Pogradeci, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Korabi Peshkopi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Sopoti Librazhd, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Flamurtari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sopoti Librazhd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.1 xG, Sopoti Librazhd 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 39%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 73%, draw 20%, Sopoti Librazhd 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogradeci73%fair 1.37 · @1.17
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @6.00
Sopoti Librazhd6%fair 15.56 · @11.00
2.65Expected goals
2.12Pogradeci xG
0.53Sopoti Librazhd xG
39%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.5 Sopoti Librazhd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogradeci to win ✗73%1.371.17
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓94%1.071.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Draw no betPogradeci (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapPogradeci -1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePogradeci to score first74%1.34–
Half-time resultPogradeci ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci ✗49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%8.89–

Recent results

Pogradeci – last 6

WWDWWD
11 Oct@ Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
7 Octvs Delvina7–0W
20 Sepvs Flamurtari0–0D
16 Sep@ FK Kukesi3–0W
12 Sepvs Kastrioti Krujë2–1W
5 Sep@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sopoti Librazhd – last 6

LDDWLD
10 Oct@ Flamurtari0–2L
6 Oct@ Besëlidhja Lezhë1–1D
20 Sepvs Kastrioti Krujë1–1D
16 Sep@ Burreli3–1W
12 Sepvs Besa Kavajë0–4L
5 Sep@ Bylis1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Sopoti Librazhd.

Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?

On our numbers Pogradeci have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sopoti Librazhd 6%.

How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?

Our predicted score is Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?

Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.