Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci welcome Sopoti Librazhd for a 1st Division fixture on Saturday 17 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sopoti Librazhd are 11th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Korabi Peshkopi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Sopoti Librazhd, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Flamurtari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sopoti Librazhd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.1 xG, Sopoti Librazhd 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 39%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 73%, draw 20%, Sopoti Librazhd 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci73%fair 1.37 · @1.17
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @6.00
Sopoti Librazhd6%fair 15.56 · @11.00
2.65Expected goals
2.12Pogradeci xG
0.53Sopoti Librazhd xG
39%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.5 Sopoti Librazhd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✗
73%
1.37
1.17
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
8.89
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 6
WWDWWD
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sopoti Librazhd – last 6
LDDWLD
10 Oct
@ Flamurtari
0–2
L
6 Oct
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Burreli
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Besa Kavajë
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Bylis
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Sopoti Librazhd.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sopoti Librazhd 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.