Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 6.97
Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Homeboyz welcome GOR Mahia for a FKF Premier League fixture on Wednesday 28 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Homeboyz are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 5 matches; GOR Mahia are 1st (leading the league) with 13.
Current form
Homeboyz, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ulinzi Stars, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
GOR Mahia, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Murang'a SEAL, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours GOR Mahia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Homeboyz.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Homeboyz 0.9 xG, GOR Mahia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Homeboyz 28%, draw 24%, GOR Mahia 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Homeboyz28%fair 3.55 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
GOR Mahia47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
2.20Expected goals
0.91Homeboyz xG
1.29GOR Mahia xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 0.9 – 1.3 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GOR Mahia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia?
Homeboyz vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
