Mara Sugar 36%Draw 25%AFC Leopards 40%Expected goals 0.91 – 0.98
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the FKF Premier League brings Mara Sugar against AFC Leopards. Kick-off: 14:15 WAT. In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mara Sugar, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mombasa Elite, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
AFC Leopards, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shabana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mara Sugar 0.9 xG, AFC Leopards 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mara Sugar 36%, draw 25%, AFC Leopards 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mara Sugar 0–0 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mara Sugar36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
AFC Leopards40%fair 2.53 · @2.55
1.89Expected goals
0.91Mara Sugar xG
0.98AFC Leopards xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 0.9 – 1.0 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✗
40%
2.53
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Mara Sugar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Recent results
Mara Sugar – last 6
WDLDLW
19 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ 3K
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Tusker
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–0
D
31 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–2
L
13 May
vs Shabana
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
DWDWLL
25 Oct
vs Shabana
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Kenya Police
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Bandari
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs Homeboyz
2–0
W
31 May
vs Bidco United
1–2
L
24 May
@ APS Bomet
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFC Leopards 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 0–0 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards?
Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
