Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultKCB to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceKCB or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32
KCB vs Mombasa Elite: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: KCB v Mombasa Elite in the FKF Premier League. In the table, KCB are 2nd, among the top four, on 13 points after 6 matches; Mombasa Elite are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KCB, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mombasa Elite, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mara Sugar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours KCB, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Mombasa Elite.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KCB 1.3 xG, Mombasa Elite 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KCB 56%, draw 22%, Mombasa Elite 22%.
Lower-risk option: KCB or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: KCB 1–0 Mombasa Elite. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KCB56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Mombasa Elite22%fair 4.62 · @4.00
1.93Expected goals
1.30KCB xG
0.64Mombasa Elite xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: KCB 1.3 – 0.6 Mombasa Elite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KCB to win✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Double chance
KCB or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
KCB (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Mombasa Elite +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
KCB to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KCB / FT KCB✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.32
–
Recent results
KCB – last 6
LWDWLW
23 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Mathare United
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ GOR Mahia
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Bandari
0–2
L
31 May
@ Shabana
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mombasa Elite – last 6
LLLWDD
19 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
14 Oct
vs Homeboyz
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Migori Youth
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Police
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ Naivas
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KCB and Mombasa Elite.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers KCB have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mombasa Elite 22%.
How many goals will there be in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
Our predicted score is KCB 1–0 Mombasa Elite, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
KCB vs Mombasa Elite (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
