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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Murang'a SEAL v Nairobi United: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Murang'a SEAL 36%Draw 23%Nairobi United 40% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.49
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultNairobi United to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the FKF Premier League brings Murang'a SEAL against Nairobi United. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Nairobi United are 15th (lower half) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Murang'a SEAL, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to 3K, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Nairobi United, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with APS Bomet, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Murang'a SEAL 2–4 Nairobi United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 1.4 xG, Nairobi United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 36%, draw 23%, Nairobi United 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Murang'a SEAL36%fair 2.76 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Nairobi United40%fair 2.48 · @2.60
2.89Expected goals
1.40Murang'a SEAL xG
1.49Nairobi United xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.4 – 1.5 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNairobi United to win ✗40%2.482.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betNairobi United (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapMurang'a SEAL +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreNairobi United to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

LWLDWW
25 Oct@ 3K1–2L
18 Octvs Posta Rangers FC5–1W
13 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–4L
2 Oct@ APS Bomet0–0D
31 Mayvs Mara Sugar2–1W
24 May@ Bidco United2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nairobi United – last 6

DDDDWD
25 Octvs APS Bomet1–1D
18 Oct@ Shabana0–0D
11 Octvs KCB2–2D
2 Octvs Bandari1–1D
31 May@ GOR Mahia1–0W
24 Mayvs Police0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Murang'a SEAL v Nairobi United2–4
Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nairobi United 40%.

How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?

Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.