Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Homeboyz v Kenya Police in the FKF Premier League. In the table, Homeboyz are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 5 matches; Kenya Police are 4th (among the top four) with 9.
Current form
Homeboyz, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GOR Mahia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Homeboyz 0.5 xG, Kenya Police 0.9 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 82% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Homeboyz 33%, draw 11%, Kenya Police 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (94%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Homeboyz 0–0 Kenya Police. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Homeboyz33%fair 3.03
Draw11%fair 9.09
Kenya Police56%fair 1.79
1.44Expected goals
0.53Homeboyz xG
0.91Kenya Police xG
36%Both score
18%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–024%
0–122%
1–012%
1–111%
0–210%
1–25%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 0.5 – 0.9 Kenya Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya Police to win✗
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
–
Draw no bet
Kenya Police (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Kenya Police to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.61
–
Recent results
Homeboyz – last 6
LDWLDD
28 Oct
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Mombasa Elite
1–0
W
2 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–2
L
31 May
@ Police
1–1
D
23 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kenya Police – last 2
WL
29 Oct
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and Kenya Police.
What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 94% chance.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kenya Police 56%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 0–0 Kenya Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
