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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

APS Bomet v Bandari: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026

Bandari

WDDDD
APS Bomet 47%Draw 33%Bandari 20% Expected goals 0.75 – 0.35
97%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.03

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPS Bomet to win47% · fair 2.14
Double chanceAPS Bomet or draw80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score70% · fair 1.44
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–025% · fair 4.02

APS Bomet vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: APS Bomet v Bandari in the FKF Premier League. In the table, APS Bomet are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Bandari are 9th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

APS Bomet, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KCB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bandari, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Bandari 0–2 APS Bomet.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 0.7 xG, Bandari 0.4 xG – a total near 1.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 90% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 47%, draw 33%, Bandari 20%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (97%). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 0–0 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

APS Bomet47%fair 2.14
Draw33%fair 3.01
Bandari20%fair 4.97
1.10Expected goals
0.75APS Bomet xG
0.35Bandari xG
30%Both score
10%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–033%
1–025%
0–112%
2–09%
1–19%
2–13%

From our goals model: APS Bomet 0.7 – 0.4 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

APS BometBandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-10%-30%
Goals conceded vs average-41%-30%
Our expected goals here0.740.36

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPS Bomet to win47%2.14–
Double chanceAPS Bomet or draw80%1.25–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score70%1.44–
Draw no betAPS Bomet (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapBandari +1 (Asian handicap)82%1.22–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals90%1.11–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals97%1.03–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals99%1.01–
First team to scoreAPS Bomet to score first45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time65%1.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–025%4.02–

Recent results

APS Bomet – last 6

LWDDDL
6 Nov@ KCB0–1L
28 Octvs 3K3–0W
25 Oct@ Nairobi United1–1D
10 Oct@ Mathare United0–0D
2 Octvs Murang'a SEAL0–0D
4 Sepvs GOR Mahia0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bandari – last 6

WDDDDL
8 Novvs Tusker1–0W
28 Octvs Posta Rangers FC0–0D
19 Octvs 3K1–1D
14 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–0D
2 Oct@ Nairobi United1–1D
11 Sep@ GOR Mahia0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Bandari v APS Bomet0–2
APS Bomet vs Bandari head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Bandari?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 97% chance.

Who will win APS Bomet vs Bandari?

On our numbers APS Bomet have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Bandari 20%.

How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Bandari?

We expect about 1.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 10% likely and both teams score 30% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Bandari?

Our predicted score is APS Bomet 0–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.1 goals in total.

When is APS Bomet vs Bandari?

APS Bomet vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.