Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZrinjski to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Čelik vs Zrinjski: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Čelik v Zrinjski in the Premijer Liga, played at Bilino Polje. In the table, Čelik are 8th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Zrinjski are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Čelik, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Sarajevo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Zrinjski, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Sloga Doboj, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Zrinjski, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Čelik.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Zrinjski 2–1 Čelik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Čelik 0.9 xG, Zrinjski 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Čelik 15%, draw 24%, Zrinjski 61%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zrinjski to win (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Čelik 0–2 Zrinjski. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Čelik15%fair 6.69 · @6.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Zrinjski61%fair 1.63 · @1.44
2.94Expected goals
0.92Čelik xG
2.02Zrinjski xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Čelik 0.9 – 2.0 Zrinjski expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zrinjski to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Čelik vs Zrinjski?
On our numbers Čelik have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zrinjski 61%.
How many goals will there be in Čelik vs Zrinjski?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Our predicted score is Čelik 0–2 Zrinjski, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Čelik vs Zrinjski (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
