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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Radnik Bijeljina v FK Sarajevo: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Gradski stadion Bijeljina
1–1
FT
Radnik Bijeljina 14%Draw 25%FK Sarajevo 61% Expected goals 0.72 – 1.76
86%
Betarazi pick

FK Sarajevo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: FK Sarajevo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFK Sarajevo to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceFK Sarajevo or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.78

Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Premijer Liga brings Radnik Bijeljina against FK Sarajevo at Gradski stadion Bijeljina. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Radnik Bijeljina are 9th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; FK Sarajevo are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Radnik Bijeljina, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FK Sarajevo, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Čelik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FK Sarajevo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Radnik Bijeljina.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended FK Sarajevo 0–0 Radnik Bijeljina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Radnik Bijeljina 0.7 xG, FK Sarajevo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Radnik Bijeljina 14%, draw 25%, FK Sarajevo 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Sarajevo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: FK Sarajevo to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FK Sarajevo or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 FK Sarajevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Radnik Bijeljina14%fair 7.16 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
FK Sarajevo61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
2.48Expected goals
0.72Radnik Bijeljina xG
1.76FK Sarajevo xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Radnik Bijeljina 0.7 – 1.8 FK Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Sarajevo to win ✗61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceFK Sarajevo or draw ✓86%1.161.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betFK Sarajevo (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapFK Sarajevo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFK Sarajevo to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultFK Sarajevo ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Sarajevo / FT FK Sarajevo ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.78–

Recent results

Radnik Bijeljina – last 6

WDLLDD
11 Octvs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo3–1W
19 Sep@ BSK Banja Luka4–4D
11 Sep@ Čelik2–3L
5 Sepvs Sloga Doboj1–2L
2 Sep@ Velež1–1D
30 Augvs Borac Banja Luka2–2D
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FK Sarajevo – last 6

DWLLWW
11 Oct@ Čelik0–0D
20 Sepvs Sloga Doboj2–0W
13 Sep@ Velež0–1L
9 Sep@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0–2L
6 Sepvs Borac Banja Luka1–0W
2 Sep@ Siroki Brijeg2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026FK Sarajevo v Radnik Bijeljina0–0
Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

Our pick is FK Sarajevo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

On our numbers Radnik Bijeljina have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Sarajevo 61%.

How many goals will there be in Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

Our predicted score is Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 FK Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?

Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Bijeljina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.