Velež 16%Draw 26%Borac Banja Luka 58%Expected goals 0.77 – 1.67
58%
Betarazi pick
Borac Banja Luka to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.65
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBorac Banja Luka to win58% · @1.65
Double chanceBorac Banja Luka or draw84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.68
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premijer Liga brings Velež against Borac Banja Luka at Stadion Rodjeni. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Borac Banja Luka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Velež, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Siroki Brijeg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Borac Banja Luka, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Panathinaikos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Borac Banja Luka, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Velež.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Borac Banja Luka 3–1 Velež.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 0.8 xG, Borac Banja Luka 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 16%, draw 26%, Borac Banja Luka 58%.
Lower-risk option: Borac Banja Luka or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Borac Banja Luka to win (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 0–1 Borac Banja Luka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež16%fair 6.12 · @5.00
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Borac Banja Luka58%fair 1.72 · @1.65
2.44Expected goals
0.77Velež xG
1.67Borac Banja Luka xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Velež 0.8 – 1.7 Borac Banja Luka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our pick is Borac Banja Luka to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Velež vs Borac Banja Luka?
On our numbers Velež have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Borac Banja Luka 58%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Borac Banja Luka?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our predicted score is Velež 0–1 Borac Banja Luka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Borac Banja Luka?
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.