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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bournemouth v Lincoln: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth

DDLLD
4–0
FT

Lincoln

DDWWL
Bournemouth 73%Draw 17%Lincoln 10% Expected goals 2.69 – 0.96
73%
Betarazi pick

Bournemouth to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBournemouth to win ✓73% · @1.30
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Bournemouth vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 8 September the League Cup brings Bournemouth against Lincoln at Vitality Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Bournemouth, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Newcastle, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Lincoln, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Southampton, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 2.7 xG, Lincoln 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 73%, draw 17%, Lincoln 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bournemouth to win (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 2–0 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bournemouth73%fair 1.37 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @5.20
Lincoln10%fair 9.93 · @9.20
3.65Expected goals
2.69Bournemouth xG
0.96Lincoln xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Bournemouth 2.7 – 1.0 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBournemouth to win ✓73%1.371.30
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.75 ▲
Draw no betBournemouth (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapBournemouth -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.871.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
First team to scoreBournemouth to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultBournemouth ahead at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth ✓51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Bournemouth – last 6

DDLLDW
5 Sep@ Newcastle2–2D
29 Augvs Everton1–1D
23 Aug@ Manchester City1–2L
15 Aug@ FSV Mainz 051–2L
8 Aug@ Real Betis2–2D
4 Augvs Genoa10–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lincoln – last 6

DDWWLL
5 Sepvs Southampton1–1D
1 Sepvs Blackburn0–0D
29 Aug@ Bolton1–0W
25 Aug@ Blackpool4–1W
22 Augvs Portsmouth1–3L
15 Aug@ Middlesbrough1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Lincoln.

Bournemouth vs Lincoln head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Crystal Palace3 Middlesbrough0 165%1.75X21%3.90215%4.10 2.0–0.8xG 1XCrystal Palace or draw 85%@1.22 ✓
FT Leyton Orient1 Bradford3 137%3.05X22%3.35241%2.24 1.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.30 ✗
FT Sunderland1 Hull City0 164%1.69X23%3.70212%4.75 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Millwall0 Newcastle1 113%5.00X20%3.90268%1.55 0.8–2.2xG 2Newcastle to win 68%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Lincoln?

Our pick is Bournemouth to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Lincoln?

On our numbers Bournemouth have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lincoln 10%.

How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Lincoln?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Lincoln?

Our predicted score is Bournemouth 2–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Bournemouth vs Lincoln?

Bournemouth vs Lincoln (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.