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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sunderland v Hull City: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Stadium of Light

Sunderland

DWLWW
1–0
FT

Hull City

DWDWD
Sunderland 64%Draw 23%Hull City 12% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.80
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Sunderland to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSunderland to win ✓64% · @1.69
Double chanceSunderland or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Sunderland vs Hull City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Sunderland v Hull City in the League Cup, played at Stadium of Light.

Current form

Sunderland, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brentford, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hull City, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aston Villa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sunderland, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Hull City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 2.0 xG, Hull City 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 64%, draw 23%, Hull City 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sunderland or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Sunderland to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 2–0 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunderland64%fair 1.55 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.70
Hull City12%fair 8.24 · @4.75
2.83Expected goals
2.03Sunderland xG
0.80Hull City xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sunderland 2.0 – 0.8 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSunderland to win ✓64%1.551.69 ▲
Double chanceSunderland or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.85
Draw no betSunderland (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapSunderland -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreSunderland to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultSunderland ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sunderland / FT Sunderland ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Sunderland – last 6

DWLWWW
5 Sep@ Brentford1–1D
30 Augvs Fulham1–0W
22 Aug@ Ipswich1–2L
15 Augvs Rennes2–1W
8 Aug@ Lens2–0W
2 Aug@ Wrexham1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

DWDWDL
5 Sepvs Aston Villa0–0D
29 Aug@ Coventry1–0W
25 Aug@ Stoke City1–1D
22 Augvs Manchester United2–0W
15 Augvs Nice0–0D
8 Aug@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Hull City.

Sunderland vs Hull City head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bournemouth4 Lincoln0 173%1.30X17%5.20210%9.20 2.7–1.0xG 1Bournemouth to win 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Crystal Palace3 Middlesbrough0 165%1.75X21%3.90215%4.10 2.0–0.8xG 1XCrystal Palace or draw 85%@1.22 ✓
FT Leyton Orient1 Bradford3 137%3.05X22%3.35241%2.24 1.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.30 ✗
FT Millwall0 Newcastle1 113%5.00X20%3.90268%1.55 0.8–2.2xG 2Newcastle to win 68%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sunderland vs Hull City?

On our numbers Sunderland have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hull City 12%.

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Sunderland 2–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sunderland vs Hull City?

Sunderland vs Hull City (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.