Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Crystal Palace to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCrystal Palace to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceCrystal Palace or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crystal Palace welcome Middlesbrough to Selhurst Park for a League Cup fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Crystal Palace, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fulham, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over QPR, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Crystal Palace.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crystal Palace 2.0 xG, Middlesbrough 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crystal Palace 65%, draw 21%, Middlesbrough 15%.
Lower-risk option: Crystal Palace or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Crystal Palace to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Crystal Palace or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crystal Palace 1–0 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crystal Palace65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Middlesbrough15%fair 6.83 · @4.10
2.78Expected goals
1.97Crystal Palace xG
0.81Middlesbrough xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 2.0 – 0.8 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crystal Palace to win✓
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Crystal Palace or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Draw no bet
Crystal Palace (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Crystal Palace -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Crystal Palace to score first✓
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Crystal Palace ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crystal Palace / FT Crystal Palace✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Crystal Palace – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Sep
@ Fulham
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Manchester City
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Everton
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Fulham
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Al Ula
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 6
WDWWLW
5 Sep
@ QPR
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burnley
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs West Brom
3–1
W
25 Aug
@ Doncaster
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Lincoln
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough.
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Crystal Palace or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 15%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Crystal Palace 1–0 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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