FC Tokyo 67%Draw 23%Shonan Bellmare 11%Expected goals 2.49 – 1.01
67%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Emperor Cup brings FC Tokyo against Shonan Bellmare at Ajinomoto Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Tokyo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ehime FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fujieda MYFC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Shonan Bellmare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 2.5 xG, Shonan Bellmare 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 67%, draw 23%, Shonan Bellmare 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 2–1 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Shonan Bellmare11%fair 9.47 · @5.50
3.50Expected goals
2.49FC Tokyo xG
1.01Shonan Bellmare xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–18%
1–08%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.5 – 1.0 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
FC Tokyo – last 6
WWWWDW
29 Sep
@ Ehime FC
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
DWDWDL
3 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Imabari
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is FC Tokyo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shonan Bellmare 11%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Omiya Ardija2
Avispa Fukuoka0
Yokohama FC1
Cerezo Osaka2
Kagoshima United0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Iwaki0
Gainare Tottori0
Tokyo Verdy0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0
Fagiano Okayama1
JEF United Chiba0
Shimizu S-pulse1
V-varen Nagasaki1