Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.92
Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
V-varen Nagasaki travel to face Shimizu S-pulse on Wednesday 7 October in the Emperor Cup, with IAI Stadium Nihondaira the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kanazawa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gainare Tottori, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 V-varen Nagasaki. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shimizu S-pulse 1 win, V-varen Nagasaki 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 2.1 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 43%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
V-varen Nagasaki34%fair 2.98 · @3.10
4.00Expected goals
2.12Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.88V-varen Nagasaki xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 2.1 – 1.9 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and V-varen Nagasaki 34%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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