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Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Iwaki: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
4–0
FT

Iwaki

LLWWL
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%Draw 18%Iwaki 16% Expected goals 2.40 – 1.10
66%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 7 October the Emperor Cup brings Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Iwaki at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tochigi City, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Iwaki, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Iwaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.4 xG, Iwaki 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%, draw 18%, Iwaki 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Iwaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.80
Iwaki16%fair 6.37 · @8.50
3.50Expected goals
2.40Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
1.10Iwaki xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.4 – 1.1 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓66%1.511.25
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.80
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WWWLWD
29 Sep@ Tochigi City2–0W
19 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
12 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka6–1W
6 Sep@ Fagiano Okayama2–3L
2 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus3–0W
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Iwaki – last 6

LLWWLL
4 Oct@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
26 Sepvs Vegalta Sendai0–2L
19 Sep@ Sagan Tosu3–1W
12 Sepvs Yokohama FC2–0W
5 Sep@ Tokushima Vortis0–1L
2 Sep@ Kitakyushu0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Iwaki.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Iwaki 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Iwaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.